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Supply Intelligence · Spend

Procurement Intelligence

The spend cube that sums the same in every direction, price variance from a printed identity, the off-contract tail with its stake, and a savings pipeline with evidence on every item.

Spend by supplier$8,147,880 TOTAL · MODELED

Vendor-Alpha Forging$2,999,360

Pacific Plastics$2,746,640

Eastern Components$2,401,880

Spend by category

Machined components$2,999,360

Polymers$2,746,640

Electronics$2,401,880

Purchase price variance

Purchase price variance by SKU: standard cost, actual cost, per unit and annual variance; negative is favorable.
SKU	Supplier	Standard	Actual	Per unit	Annual PPV	Source
GC-4471	Vendor-Alpha Forging	39.80	41.20	1.40	$101,920	Evidence row sourceSystem: SAP S/4HANA · sourceId: DET-01/MAT-4471 · field: planningParameters · value: LT 6w, MOQ 5000 · lastModifiedAt: 2026-07-18T09:12:04Z
MP-5120	Pacific Plastics	14.30	13.90	-0.40	$-79,040	Evidence row sourceSystem: NetSuite · sourceId: STG-02/ITEM-5120 · field: planningParameters · value: LT 3w, MOQ 12000 · lastModifiedAt: 2026-07-19T14:02:41Z
OF-2210	Eastern Components	73.10	74.50	1.40	$45,136	Evidence row sourceSystem: Oracle Fusion · sourceId: OSK-03/PRD-2210 · field: planningParameters · value: LT 9w, MOQ 1500 · lastModifiedAt: 2026-07-17T02:41:20Z

Why these variances

PPV = (actual 41.2 - standard 39.8) x 72,800 units = 101,920 USD MODELED

PPV = (actual 13.9 - standard 14.3) x 197,600 units = -79,040 USD MODELED

PPV = (actual 74.5 - standard 73.1) x 32,240 units = 45,136 USD MODELED

Off-contract tail

72% coveredVendor-Alpha Forging $839,821 off-contractoffContract = spend 2,999,360 x (1 - coverage 0.72) = 839,821 USD MODELED

Evidence row

sourceSystem: SAP Ariba · sourceId: ARB/CTR-GC-2026 · field: contractCoverage · value: 72% SYNTHETIC · lastModifiedAt: 2026-07-14T09:00:00Z

91% coveredPacific Plastics $247,198 off-contractoffContract = spend 2,746,640 x (1 - coverage 0.91) = 247,198 USD MODELED

Evidence row

sourceSystem: SAP Ariba · sourceId: ARB/CTR-MP-2026 · field: contractCoverage · value: 91% SYNTHETIC · lastModifiedAt: 2026-07-14T09:00:00Z

64% coveredEastern Components $864,677 off-contractoffContract = spend 2,401,880 x (1 - coverage 0.64) = 864,677 USD MODELED

Evidence row

sourceSystem: SAP Ariba · sourceId: ARB/CTR-OF-2026 · field: contractCoverage · value: 64% SYNTHETIC · lastModifiedAt: 2026-07-14T09:00:00Z

Savings pipeline

readyRecover GC-4471 price variance to standard $101,920 MODELED

Negotiate actual cost back toward the 39.80 standard at the annual volume.

PPV = (actual 41.2 - standard 39.8) x 72,800 units = 101,920 USD MODELED

Evidence row

sourceSystem: SAP S/4HANA · sourceId: DET-01/MAT-4471 · field: planningParameters · value: LT 6w, MOQ 5000 · lastModifiedAt: 2026-07-18T09:12:04Z

readyContract the off-contract tail at Eastern Components $51,881 MODELED

Extend the Ariba contract to cover the uncontracted spend; six percent is the modeled rate delta.

stake = offContract x 6% negotiated rate delta MODELED; offContract = spend 2,401,880 x (1 - coverage 0.64) = 864,677 USD MODELED

Evidence row

sourceSystem: SAP Ariba · sourceId: ARB/CTR-OF-2026 · field: contractCoverage · value: 64% SYNTHETIC · lastModifiedAt: 2026-07-14T09:00:00Z

in simulatorPacific Plastics MOQ renegotiation (working capital)

Halve the MOQ; the release is working capital and shows in the simulator, not this P&L pipeline.

balance-sheet release, not P&L; see the impact simulator MOQ lever

Evidence row

sourceSystem: SAP Ariba · sourceId: ARB/CTR-MP-2026 · field: contractCoverage · value: 91% SYNTHETIC · lastModifiedAt: 2026-07-14T09:00:00Z

Read-only by architecture. Recommendations execute in your systems of record. All figures MODELED; all records SYNTHETIC.

Supplier risk 6 FACTORS · WEIGHTS SUM 100

Supplier risk scores with band and the number of factors each score stands on.
Supplier	Score	Band	Factors used	Weights
Pacific Plastics	42	watch	5	redistributed
Vendor-Alpha Forging	19	routine	5	redistributed
Eastern Components	15	routine	5	redistributed
Ardent Castings	not scored	unscored	0	published

How these scores are built, and what would move them

Weighted score over 5 factor(s), normalized so 100 is worst. Published weights sum to 100. 1 factor(s) were unavailable and excluded, and their weight was redistributed proportionally across the rest. An unavailable factor is never scored zero, because scoring absence as good silently rewards the counterparties we know least about.

25% Delivery reliability · Share of receipts arriving inside the promised window over the trailing period. Improves as promised dates are met. A single late receipt on a small base moves it more than on a large one, which is honest rather than a flaw.

20% Spend concentration · Share of a category spent with this counterparty. Falls when a second qualified source takes volume. This is the factor a buyer can act on fastest and the one most often left unmanaged.

20% Lead time drift · Movement between quoted lead time and observed lead time. Falls when quoted and observed converge. Drift is an earlier signal than a missed delivery, because it appears while the order is still open.

15% Price variance · Dispersion between contracted price and invoiced price. Falls when invoices match the agreement. Persistent variance is a contract-administration finding before it is a supplier finding.

12% Financial signal · Externally sourced distress indicators where a data provider is connected. Requires a bound provider. With none connected this factor is stated as unavailable and its weight is redistributed rather than silently scored zero.

08% Compliance posture · Open flags against this counterparty in the governance record. Falls as flags are closed with evidence.

These are the same figures and the same arithmetic the buyer sees. A score you would not show the scored party is a score you should not act on.

The Negotiation RoomEVIDENCE-BACKED, CHAIN-SEALED, SYNTHETIC

Position	Cents per unit	Basis
Landed cost	1538	landed 1538 = unit 1240 + freight 260 + duty 38; target = landed x 0.94; walk-away = landed x 1.03
Target	1446	landed x 0.94
Walk-away	1584	computed, not felt; landed x 1.03

Lever: FREIGHT: consolidate shipments; freight share exceeds eighteen percent of unit

1. 63ea33c5fac7 Us OPEN at 1446 cents: Opening at target with the landed arithmetic attached

2. 0e532ba04713 Pacific Plastics COUNTER at 1523 cents: Counter at one percent under landed

3. e1d3a35416da Us COUNTER at 1484 cents: Split with the freight-consolidation lever on the table

Exchange chain INTACT, 3 sealed positions; anchor head e1d3a35416da over 3 entries, POSTURE: prepared for on-chain anchoring; nothing posted until the founder says the word. AI drafts the position and carries the arithmetic; a person makes every call, per the covenant. Nothing here signs anything.